第57届格莱美提名独家预测 花落谁家？！

The Grammys has already served up their nominees in lump of coal style.Here are the categories, with predicted winners in the text.
格莱美奖已经为大家献上了它的各奖项候选人名单，又冗长又杂乱，如同一堆煤块。下文是各奖项的类别，外加对获奖人的推测。

Album of the Year
年度最佳专辑
Morning Phase – Beck
Beyoncé – Beyoncé
x – Ed Sheeran
In the Lonely Hour – Sam Smith
G I R L – Pharrell Williams

Note: Taylor Swift’s 1989 came out after the STUPID cutoff date of October 1st, so it isn’t eligible until next year’s Grammy’s. It would be a runaway win for her otherwise.
注：泰勒·斯威夫特的专辑《1989》是在格莱美的隐性截止日期、10月1日之后才发行的，所以在明年的格莱美评奖活动之前这张专辑不具资格。或者今年她也可能继续获奖。

Double note: “Shake It Off” was released as a single before that cutoff, so it IS eligible this year.
再注：单曲《拜托》是在截止日期之前发行的，所以泰勒今年确实是有资格的。

Record of the Year
年度最佳唱片
“Fancy” – Iggy Azalea featuring Charli XCX
“Chandelier” – Sia
“Stay with Me” (Darkchild Version) – Sam Smith
“Shake It Off” – Taylor Swift
“All About That Bass” – Meghan Trainor

Note: First, Sam Smith is the hot, new artist with some legitimate talent that makes old-ish style, traditional music that the Grammy committee will latch onto (PUN VICTORY!) for his entire career.. Taylor Swift is a million-record selling, established powerhouse primed to win Grammys yearly.
注：首先，山姆·史密斯是热门选手，这名新人所卓识具有的天才，老式而传统的音乐风格会让格莱美的评委们热衷，并在他的音乐生涯中一直对他加以关注（也就是获奖啦！），泰勒·斯威夫特的专辑发行量过百万，这位多产的歌手注定要年年获得格莱美奖。

Song of the Year
年度最佳单曲
“All About That Bass” – Meghan Trainor
“Chandelier” – Sia
“Shake It Off” – Taylor Swift
“Stay with Me” (Darkchild Version) – Sam Smith
“Take Me to Church” – Hozier

Note: “All About that Bass” scares me a ton,because it’s the kind of song that would sneak this win. For my sanity, I’m going to rule it out, but I won’t be surprised at all if it wins. This one comes down to Swift, Smith, and Sia , and because of the next award, I think they spread the love and give it to Sia.
注：《关于那个胖女的一切》让我很震撼，因为它正是那种可能侥幸获胜的歌曲。为了不至惊吓过度，我打算将它除名，不过如果它获奖了，我一点也不会感到惊讶。那么还剩下斯威夫特、史密斯和西娅，出于下一个奖项的考虑，我觉得评委会会大发慈悲，把这个奖颁给西娅。

Best New Artist
最佳新人奖
HAIM
Bastille
Sam Smith
Iggy Azalea
Brandy Clark

Note: Does anyone other the Sam Smith make sense? No. Ok, Sam Smith is winning.
注：除了山姆·史密斯还有谁应该获奖呢？没有了，所以山姆·史密斯赢定了。

Best Pop Solo Performance
最佳流行歌手
“All of Me (Live)” – John Legend
“Chandelier” – Sia
“Stay with Me” (Darkchild Version) – Sam Smith
“Shake It Off” – Taylor Swift
“Happy (Live)” – Pharrell Williams

Note: There are so many overlapping Grammy trends here, you can’t sort it. The hot new artist, the actually performed well song, many established Grammy approved artists, live performances of previous Grammy-winning songs, etc. Ugh. Please give it to Sam Smith.
注：这个奖项包含了许多关于格莱美偏好变化趋势的信息，这些信息相互交叠，难以分辨其中包括热门的新人、确实堪称佳作的歌曲、已经获得过格莱美认可的艺人、先前获得过格莱美奖的歌曲的新现场版等等。呃，拜托还是颁给山姆·史密斯吧。

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
最佳流行乐队/组合
“Fancy” – Iggy Azalea feat. Charli XCX
“A Sky Full of Stars” – Coldplay
“Say Something” – A Great Big World and Christina Aguilera
“Bang Bang” – Jessie J, Ariana Grande, & Nicki Minaj
“Dark Horse” – Katy Perry feat. Juicy J

Note: Logically, “Fancy” picks up the win here, as it’s nominated for Record of the Year, but logic isn’t something the academy likes all that much. Watch for a Coldplay upset.
注：按道理来说，《幻想》应该摘得此奖，因为它也获得了今年最佳流行专辑的提名，不过评委会不太喜欢按照道理来行事。注意酷玩乐队今年可能要失望啦。

Best Pop Vocal Album
最佳流行演唱专辑
Ghost Stories – Coldplay
Bangerz – Miley Cyrus
My Everything – Ariana Grande
Prism – Katy Perry
x – Ed Sheeran
In the Lonely Hour – Sam Smith

Note: The committee might as well feel responsible for pushing the less successful, lesser known artist more sales, and hand this one to In the Lonely Hour and Sam Smith.
注：评委会或许会觉得有责任为那些较为落魄，知名度较低的歌手能卖出更多专辑助一臂之力，因而将此奖颁给山姆·史密斯的《孤独时刻》。

Best Dance Recording
最佳舞曲唱片
“Never Say Never” – Basement Jaxx
“Rather Be” – Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne
“F For You” – Disclosure feat. Mary J. Blige
“I Got U” – Duke Dumont feat. Jax Jones
“Faded” – Zhu

Note: Based on the Grammy tradition of awarding remade songs from years past and re-awarding long-time established artist, look for Disclosure and Mary J Blige to take this one.
注：根据格莱美的传统，他们喜欢把奖颁给那些对数年前的老歌的翻唱作品，颁给早已成名的歌手。这一奖项上发掘乐队和玛丽·布莱姬的联合阵容。

Best Dance/Electronic Album
最佳电子/舞曲专辑
Syro – Aphex Twin
While (1<2) – Deadmau5
Nabuma Rubberband – Little Dragon
Do It Again – Royksopp & Robyn
Damage Control – Mat Zo

Note: This is an eclectic bunch of albums. I don’t think the voters have much love for Aphex Twin, despite it being the best album on this list. I imagine Deadmau5 will win, since he’s the only artist here that would care about it.
注：这些专辑都风格迥异啊。我觉得评委们不太喜欢爱飞克斯双胞胎，虽然他们的专辑可能是这些候选专辑中最棒的。我猜想Deadmau5可能会胜出，因为他是这些候选人中唯一会在乎这个奖项的人。

Best Rock Performance
最佳摇滚演奏
“Gimme Something Good” – Ryan Adams
“Do I Wanna Know?” – Arctic Monkeys
“Blue Moon” – Beck
“Fever” – The Black Keys
“Lazaretto” – Jack White

Note: All these songs, save Arctic Monkeys’, are nominated for Best Rock Song too, so that doesn’t help clarify anything. So is it going to be a BlackKeys or Jack White kind of year?
注：除了北极猴子乐队的歌曲，所有其他的候选歌曲都同时被提名为最佳摇滚歌曲，所以在此很难判断。也许今年黑键乐团或者杰克·怀特会赢也说不定。

Best Metal Performance
最佳金属演奏
“Neon Knights” – Anthrax
“High Road” – Mastodon
“Heartbreaker” – Motorhead
“THe Negative One” – Slipknot
“The Last in Line” – Tenacious D

Note: Anthrax has been nominated every year since 2007. The winner in 2006? Slipknot. The winner in 2005? Motorhead. Mastodon has been nominated a ton, but has never won. It comes down to Motorhead and Slipknot, and I think the latter is more the academy’s view on metal’s preference.
注：炭疽乐队自2007年以来每年都会获得提名。2006年的赢家是谁？Slipknot。2005年的赢家是谁？乳齿象乐队无数次获得提名，但是从来没有获奖过。那么获奖者应该在Motorhead 和Slipknot两者之间，我觉得后者更符合评委会对金属音乐的眼光和偏好。

Best Rock Song
最佳摇滚歌曲
“Ain’t It Fun” – Paramore
“Blue Moon” – Beck
“Fever” – The Black Keys
“Gimme Something Good” – Ryan Adams
“Lazaretto” – Jack White

Note: Beck being nominated for Album of the Year confuses things more. I’m going to stick with my Jack White clean sweep.
注：Beck也获得了年度最佳唱片的提名，所以事情就更扑朔难辨了。我还是坚持一边倒的观点，支持杰克·怀特获胜吧。

Best Rock Album
最佳摇滚专辑
Ryan Adams – Ryan Adams
Morning Phase – Beck
Turn Blue – The Black Keys
Hypnotic Eye – Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers
Songs of Innocence – U2

Note: Again, logic dictates a Beck win, and that’s what I’m going with, but someone else winning wouldn’t surprise me at all.
注：再一次，按道理beck应该会赢，我就认定他会赢吧。不过如果赢家另有其人，我也丝毫不会感到意外。

Best Alternative Music Album
最佳另类音乐专辑
This Is All Yours – alt-J
Reflektor – Arcade Fire
Melophobia – Cage the Elephant
St. Vincent – St. Vincent
Lazaretto – Jack White

Note: That sneaky Jack White; he entered his rock album in a different category! Sly devil. You earn yourself a win for that!
注：狡猾的杰克·怀特将自己的摇滚专辑归入了另一个类别！真是个滑头的坏蛋！为了你的小伎俩你也应该获奖！

Best R&B Performance
最佳R&B歌手
“Drunk in Love” – Beyoncé feat. Jay Z
“New Flame” – Chris Brown feat. Usher & Rick Ross
“It’s Your World” – Jennifer Hudson feat. R Kelly
“Like THis” – Ledisi
“Good Kisser” – Usher

Note: A Jennifer Hudson/R Kelly combo is intriguing, but I think Beyoncé takes this
注：珍妮佛·哈德森与罗伯特·凯利联手的阵容非常有诱惑力，不过我认为还是碧昂斯会获奖。

Best R&B Song
最佳R&B歌曲
“Drunk In Love” – Beyoncé feat. Jay Z
“Good Kisser” – Usher
“New Flame” – Chris Brown feat. Usher & Rick Ross
“Options (Wolfjames Version)” – Luke James feat. Rick Ross)
“The Worst” – Jhene Aiko

Note: Fill up that trophy case, Beyoncé!
注：满载而归吧，碧昂斯！

Best Rap Performance
最佳说唱歌手
“3005” – Childish Gambino
“0 to 100 / The Catch Up” – Drake
“Rap God” – Eminem
“I” – Kendrick Lamar
“All I Need Is You” – Lecrae

Note: By Grammy standards, it’s Eminem versus nobody, so Eminem wins.
注：从格莱美的评奖标准来看，这个奖项阿姆无人能及，所以阿姆赢定了。

Best Rap/Sung Collaboration
最佳说唱歌曲合作
“Blak Majik” – Common feat. Jhene Aiko
“The Monster” – Eminem & Rihanna
“Tuesday” – I Love Makonnen feat. Drake
“Studio” – Schoolboy Q feat. BJ the Chicago Kid
“Bound 2″ – Kanye West & Charlie Wilson

Note: Well, at least this one has competition: Eminem’s legacy versus Kanye’s. Eminem gets a step up because of Rihanna’s inclusion, though Bound 2 made the bigger splash via its ridiculous music video.
注：好吧，还好这个奖项上有点竞争性：这是阿姆的权威性与卡内的权威性之间的较量。阿姆由于蕾哈娜的加盟更胜一筹，虽然Bound 2 滑稽的音乐视频得到了更多的关注。

Best Rap Song
最佳说唱歌曲
“Anaconda” – Nicki Minaj
“Bound 2″ – Kanye West & Charlie Wilson
“I” – Kendrick Lamar
“We Dem Boyz” – Wiz Khalifa
“0 to 100 / The Catch Up” – Drake

Note: Here’s the thing: if I don’t know rap, the Grammy’s sure don’t know rap. Wiz Khalifa wins.
注：事实是这样的：如果我不了解说唱音乐的话，格莱美奖就更不了解说唱音乐了。Wiz Khalifa 肯定会赢。

Best Rap Album
最佳说唱专辑
The New Classic – Iggy Azalea
Because the Internet – Childish Gambino
Nobody’s Smiling – Common
The Marshall Mathers LP 2 – Eminem
Oxymoron – ScHoolboy Q
Blacc Hollywood – Wiz Khalifa

Note: Last year, this category was Kendrick Lamar, Kanye West, Drake, Jay Z, and Macklemore & Ryan Lewis (one of these things is not like the other…. and was the winner). We have, if I put it lightly, a slight downgrade this year.
注：去年这一奖项的角逐者包括Kendrick Lamar, Kanye West, Drake, Jay Z和 Macklemore & Ryan Lewis (由于与其他候选者都不同，最终获奖)。委婉的说，今年的参赛者质量有所下滑。

Best Urban Contemporary Album
最佳当代城市专辑
Sail Out – Jhené Aiko
Beyoncé – Beyoncé
X – Chris Brown
Mali is… – Mali Music
G I R L – Pharrell Williams

Note: Welcome to the world as ruled by Beyoncé. No one else is even going to sniff this award.
注：欢迎来到碧昂斯统治的国度！除她之外压根没人在乎这个奖。

Best Country Solo Performance
最佳乡村歌手
“Give Me Back My Hometown” – Eric Church
“Invisible” – Hunter Hayes
“Automatic” – Miranda Lambert
“Something in the Water” – Carrie Underwood
“Cop Car” – Keith Urban

Note: If I know the Grammy’s, they like Underwood and Lambert a lot, so I’m picking Eric Church.
注：如果我对格莱美的了解是正确的话，他们非常喜欢Underwood和Lambert ，所以我还是猜Eric Church或赢吧。

Best Country Song
最佳乡村歌曲
“American Kids” – Kenny Chesney
“Automatic” – Miranda Lambert
“Give Me Back My Hometown” – Eric Church
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You” – Glen Campbell
“Meanwhile Back at Mama’s” – Tim McGraw featuring Faith Hill

Note: Shouldn’t Tim McGraw be dueting with Nelly or LL Cool J or something? And isn’t Faith Hill retired after her Sunday Night Football gig? Whatever, Eric Church wins again.
注：Tim McGraw 为什么没有跟Nelly 或者 LL Cool J来个二重唱呢？Faith Hill 不是在她的《周日足球夜》之后就退出歌坛了吗？无论如何，应该又是埃里克·丘奇赢了。

Best Country Duo/Group Performance
最佳乡村乐队/组合
“Gentle on my Mind” – The Band Perry

“Something Bad” – Miranda Lambert with Carrie Underwood
“Day Drinking” – Little Big Town
“Meanwhile Back At Mama’s” – Time McGraw feat. Faith Hill
“Raise ‘Em Up” – Keith Urban feat. Eric Church

Note: Nobody wins in this category, but Lambert and Underwood together combine to be the least-loser.
注：这个奖项上没有胜者，不过Lambert与Underwood的组合可能是败得最不惨烈的候选人。

Best Country Album
最佳乡村专辑
Riser – Dierks Bentley
The Outsiders – Eric Church
12 Stories – Brandy Clark
Platinum – Miranda Lambert
The Way I’m Livin’ – Lee Ann Womack

Note: EVERYONE’S A WINNER! Eric Church, collect your prize!
注：每个人都是赢家！埃里克·丘奇，格莱美喊你来拿奖啦！

Best Comedy Album
最佳喜剧专辑
Mandatory Fun – Weird Al Yankovic
obsessed – Jim Gaffigan
Oh My God – Louis CK
Tragedy Plus Comedy Equals Time – Patton Oswalt
We Are Miracles – Sarah Silverman

Note: Weird Al’s genius marketing and good album should lock up this award for him.
注：Weird Al卓有成效的宣传策略和这张专辑的质量确保了他会获得此奖。

Best Song Written for Visual Media
最佳影视歌曲
“Everything Is Awesome!!!” – Tegan and Sara feat. The Lonely Island (Lego Movie)
“I See Fire” – Ed Sheeran (The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug)
“I’m Not gonna Miss You” – Glen Campbell (Glen Campbell, I’ll Be me)
“Let It Go” – Idina Menzel (Frozen)
“The Moon Song” – Scarlett Johansson & Joaquin Phoenix (Her)

Note: It has to be Frozen, right? As much fun as a Lego Movie song winning, it won’t beat out the most popular song for humans under the age of 16 in a decade.
注：获奖的必须是《冰雪奇缘》，不是吗。假如乐高电影的主题曲获奖倒会很有趣，不过这首歌曲在十年之内肯定是不能击败《冰雪奇缘》中那支受到16岁以下观众最为钟爱的歌曲的。

Best Music Video
最佳音乐录影带
“We Exist” – Arcade Fire
“Turn Down For What” – DJ Snake & Lil Jon
“Chandelier” – Sia
“Happy” – Pharrell Williams
“The Golden Age” – Woodkid feat. Max Richter

Note: Nothing would make me happy than that if it is the video for “Turn Down For What” to win, but it’s probably going to “Chandelier.”
注：假如Turn Down For What的音乐录音带能赢，我会感到莫大的快意，不过获胜的很可能还是《尚德利耶》。