CNN news 2014-05-27 加文本

cnn news 2014-05-27

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We are less than two weeks away from the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane season. These storms can form at any time, but they are most likely to spin up between June 1 and November 30. Predicting them is like predicting the weather. It`s not an exact science.

This is what Superstorm Sandy looked like as it approached the North Eastern U.S. in 2012. It made landfall there late in that season. On October, 29. 2012 was very active for Atlantic storms. There were almost twice as many of them as experts predicted. This time around, NOAA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecast things to be relatively quiet, but ..

CHAD MYERS, cnn METEOROLOGIST: The news is that there will be hurricanes. And I can`t tell you where it`s going to hit or how many will hit, but the number is three to six. Three to six hurricanes in the water, in the Atlantic. The average is 6.4. Last year we had two. So, major hurricanes wandered to - you should have two to seven, last year zero.

Let`s go back to 2012. This number was 19, 10 and one. That`s the real number -one, what was that number one? Sandy. So, you only technically need one storm to make a big season, and there will be at least one.

Near normal, 40 percent chance, below normal, 50 percent chance, above normal about ten percent chance of that.

So there is where the number has come from, it doesn`t matter whether we get one or a dozen, it matters which one hits land and what land it hits.