CNN news 2015-08-09 加文本

cnn news 2015-08-09

So who's in is this big decision or who's out? Maybe it's the big decision depending on your perspective or depending on where you stand in the Republican race or who you support.

Let's look at the latest right now again. This is a cnn poll of polls. Fox News has their own criteria, but essentially they are going to take the last five credible polls, there are a few other criteria, but the main one is the last five credible polls, the top ten make the prime time debate.

As of this morning, with this friend from CBS polls, we've factored into this. As of this morning, it's Trump, Bush, Walker, Carson, Cruz, Huckabee, Paul, Rubio, Kasich, and Christie. Just missing the cut, Rick Perry, Bobby Jindal, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, Jim Gilmore, John, sorry.

Two of those candidates, Perry and Santorum ran last time. The only woman running in the Republican race doesn't make this debate. Does that, if you're, I guess, if you're in the second tier, you are hoping to slingshot out later. But, who has the most to lose? Never mind who has the most to win, who has the most to lose in the top tier?

I think Trump has the most to lose in some ways, because he's going to be center-staged and you got to figure out what he is going to do. Is he going to go after people or people are going to go after him? I think people are looking to see if he's a serious candidate. So, he's got to figure out how he approaches it, how he can maintain this momentum that he has. And that's been such a surprise.

You know what gets me about this field, is how deep it is. And in addition to what you said, there's four ex-governors in it. What surprises me is how deep this field is, with some real big time names, how small they are all acting.How small they are all acting. Because it is, if you look from experience, the Democrats are out there saying "I don't like any of them". Some Republicans are saying "I like this guy". If you look from a list, this is a very impressive field, you'll look at eight or nine governors sitting or former governors, a handful of senators, a business executives, one of the world's top neurosurgeons. This is an interesting group of people.

And one of those former governors has accused the president of the United States of marching Jews towards the oven. I mean, it's ridiculous some of the things they are doing, and they are really demeaning the whole process and their party, I believe.

But I would say Scott Walker has I think in some ways, has the most to lose. I get your point about Trump, but for Trump, I think is he a performer or is he a president? I think one way or the other you're going to get that. But if he holds, he's fine. If he grows, the Republican Party has a problem. Then the establishment is going to think do we spend money against this guy? If he starts to grow.

But if you are Walker, and you were the candidate of the summer, leading in Iowa, coming out of New Hampshire. A lot of people are saying that well the establishment of Trump starts to rise, okay, we are going to pick one horse, that horse will be Jeb Bush.

Because he's the known to the establishment. Is that your point? Walker would be kind of a flyer for them.