BBC news 2015-05-10 加文本

BBC news 2015-05-10

And I stress exit poll only. This is a forecast. But here you see the Conservatives up nine, an improvement on 2010, with 316 seats. Do you see David Cameron there just looking rather thoughtful about what happens next. Now the obvious thought for the Conservatives is the sane for the Liberal Democrats. Politicals Liberal Democrats have taken some serious damage. Let's have a look.

We bring on Labour, 239 MPs for them. And there's Ed Miliband watching the Conservative side to see the Liberal Democrats to come on. So here they come. They are down 47, but here is a remarkable thing. This is when they are talking about exquisite torture. Look at this. Because they're actually on the line. The line is just down here. 326 is what they need. They have an overall majority and a coalition Conservative plus leaved them 316 plus 10 under the Exit poll gets to exactly 326 seats that have come. Now output only takes the tiny varition in our forcast and good as we not see them before, for them to drop below that. And then they could be other issue that Mr. Cameron might need to consider. We'll just talk about that in a second.

We'll go to the oppositon benches now. So we have Labour on 239. We bring on the SNP, and you could see them there's a quite sensatinal result for them. Remember 59 seats in total in Scotland, they won all but one of them, under our forcast. And the last they actually had 60 seats in total. So they gone from 6 seats to 58, under Nicola Sturgeon. It is a standout result of the night as well as what's happening between the two main parties.       

Now we bring on the others for you. Anything quite a goodnight for plight coming the Welsh natioals who gain the seat. And UK have two NPs under our forcast. Again underlined, underlined just as forcast at the moment. DUP in Northen Ireland, eight. And let's have a look at the other, which is the other Northen Ireland party and its data were saying possibly George Gelloway, we have on 11.

Now I mention the option for David Cameron. If he just gets back to the site for a second. If we have a situation where as the nine goes on, maybe the Liberal Democrats will suffer even more damage. Maybe they are under nine all right. And suddenly all the Conservatives got fewer than those 316. What happens next? Well, he could ask for the DUP to join this coalitionalist side. And he could try bringing them over the government benches. But at the moment, under our forcast, even if you range all of these MPs together, including all the Labour MPs and the SNP MPs, they couldn't switch to this side side and govern as a coalition. Because they do not make the 326 seats you need in the House of Commoms for an overall majority. That's where we are at the moment with our forcast and it leads us poise David for a fascinating night.