厄尔尼诺强势回归 带来全球变暖新高峰(下)

Unfortunately, an El Nino would add to the heat for sure.

不幸的是，厄尔尼诺现象肯定会使气温升高加剧。

They always bump up the global average temperature and can frequently set yearly heat records.

厄尔尼诺现象总是推高全球平均温度，而且频繁创下年度高温记录。

2016, for example, is still the hottest year on record, thanks, in part, to the major El Nino that year.

例如，2016年仍是有记录以来最热的一年，当年的厄尔尼诺现象起了部分作用。

But really it’s adding on to the background global warming signal—for example, 2016 was half a degree Celsius warmer than 1998 (at the time, 1998 was far and away the hottest year).

实际上，厄尔尼诺是火上浇油，加剧了全球变暖——2016年的气温还要比1998年高0.5摄氏度(1998年在当时无疑是最热的一年)。

Given El Nino and a good chance it will be strong, there’s a good chance we’ll see a global heat record this year or next.

考虑到厄尔尼诺现象可能会越来越强，我们可能在今年或明年看到全球高温记录。

Well, more heat on top of our hotter world ain’t great.

在这个越来越热的世界上，温度越来越高并非好事。

But honestly, knowing how El Nino works shows, in a pretty profound way, that everything in Earth’s climate is connected.

但老实说，我们以一种相当深刻的方式了解了，厄尔尼诺现象的运作方式表明地球气候系统中的一切都是相互联系的。

Yep, that’s right. This change in the ocean and air thousands of miles away from where you live will affect your weather in the coming months.

是的，没错。数千英里之外的海洋和大气的变化将影响所处位置未来几个月的天气。

And once you know it, you can prepare for it.

一旦你知道这个信息，你就可以对此做好准备。

And to help you do that, here are some sites you can go to track how Ninoish this one is getting. We’ll leave links in the show transcript.

为了帮助你们应对变化，这里有一些追踪厄尔尼诺现象的网站。我们会在节目文本中留下链接。

The Climate Prediction Center at NOAA—that’s the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration—puts out weekly and seasonal forecasts.

美国国家海洋和大气管理局的气候预测中心每周以及每季都会发布预测信息。

And Columbia University has this group called the International Research Institute for Climate and Society.

哥伦比亚大学有一个名为国际气候与社会研究所的组织。

They have an El Nino forecast, so you can know if it’s coming before it gets going. But you can also track it as it goes, too.

这个组织会预测厄尔尼诺现象，因此，你可以在厄尔尼诺开始发生前就知道它是否会来。你也可以对它的路径进行追踪。

And if you live in the Southern Hemisphere, Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology is a great one to hit up.

如果你住在南半球，澳大利亚气象局也是一个获取信息的好地方。

And, of course, Andrea is on this. So, you can always check sciam.com for El Nino news as it develops.

当然，安德里亚也在致力于此。因此，你可以随时登录sciam.com网站，了解厄尔尼诺的最新进展。

This is my life.

这就是我的生活。

It's a good thing, it’s news we can all use.

好消息是，这是我们都能用上的新闻。

Science, Quickly is produced by Tulika Bose, Jeff DelViscio, Kelso Harper and Carin Leong.

《科学快播》由图里卡·博斯、杰夫·德尔维西奥和凯尔索·哈珀制作。

This show was edited by Elah Feder and Alexa Lim. Our show’s music was composed by Dominic Smith.

本节目由以拉·菲德尔和亚历克莎·林编辑，由多米尼克·史密斯编曲。

And before you go, please consider supporting independent journalism like this. Become a Scientific American subscriber today.

在结束收听前，请考虑支持这样的独立新闻。今天就成为《科学美国人》的订阅人吧。

And don’t forget to subscribe to the podcast on Apple or Spotify.

不要忘记在苹果或Spotify上订阅我们的播客。

For Science, Quickly, I’m Jeff DelViscio. And I’m Andrea Thompson.

感谢收听《科学快播》，我是杰夫·德尔维西奥。我是安德里亚·汤普森。