欧美文化:Afghanistan's GDP likely to drop 20 pct in one year: UN

UNITED NATIONS, Dec. 1 (Xinhua) -- Afghanistan's gross domestic product (GDP) likely will drop from 20 billion U.S. dollars to 16 billion dollars within a year, a 20 percent plunge, the UN Development Programme (UNDP) projected on Wednesday.

The agency warned in its Socio-Economic Outlook for Afghanistan that the economic base for the poorest country in Asia has long been too small to support its population of 40 million.

"This new socio-economic assessment on Afghanistan estimates that restricting women from working could result in an immediate economic loss of up to 1 billion U.S. dollars, or up to 5 percent of the country's GDP," said UNDP Administrator Achim Steiner.

The UN body also warned that failing to invest in half of the country's human capital, girls' education, will have dire socio-economic consequences for years to come.

The economic modeling by UNDP and independent economists for the outlook indicated that with falling incomes and a growing population, it could take 2 billion U.S. dollars to lift the incomes of all people in extreme poverty to the poverty line.