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欧元兑美元走软

2012-01-08来源:VOA

The euro has lost 5.1 percent versus the dollar over the past month. And a spate of poor eurozone economic data Friday further eroded its value, signaling a grim economic outlook for the European economy in 2012.

过去一个月,欧元对美元汇率下跌了5.1%。星期五出炉的欧元区糟糕的经济数据进一步令欧元贬值,显示2012年欧洲经济前景黯淡。

At 13 years old, the euro is barely a teenager. But, so far, it has had an eventful life.

问世13年的欧元还只不过是年轻货币。但迄今为止,欧元已经历了大起大落。

At its inception, Germany, the currency zone’s biggest economy, was still digesting the huge costs of incorporating East Germany, and there were wider concerns about whether such an ambitious project of a common currency would even work.

欧元问世初期,欧元区最大的经济体德国还在消化因合并东德而带给它的巨额成本。当时存在更广泛的担心,即这样一个雄心勃勃的共同货币体制是否能够运转。

Despite concerns, it soon matched the dollar one for one. Then shot past it. Even after the financial crisis in 2007 - and a recession soon after - it held its value.

尽管存在担忧,欧元对美元汇率很快达到1比1,之后还突破了1比1。就算是在2007年金融危机以及随后出现经济衰退之后,欧元币值依然稳定。

But now a second eurozone recession is back and the markets have turned against it. Friday it hit a 16-month low against the dollar.

但是现在,欧元区第二次陷入衰退,市场已经转而回避欧元。星期五,欧元对美元汇率创下16个月以来的最低点。

Jeremy Stretch a London-based currency strategist for the Canadian Bank CIBC, explains the weaknesses analysts identified several years ago are finally surfacing.

加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)驻伦敦的货币策略师杰瑞米·斯特莱齐解释说,分析人士几年前指出的欧元弱点终于浮出水面。

"I think those flaws were essentially being masked by the process of broader economic growth and it’s now only when we see a downturn that we haven’t seen in the majority of peoples' lifetimes that’s really underlined the sort of structural failings within the Eurozone project. It was a process designed by politicians and that’s part of the inherent flaw. The politicians didn’t design the process in the optimal way," he said.

斯特莱齐说:“我认为,那些缺陷是被更广泛的经济增长所掩盖了。而现在,只有当我们看到人们一生中大部分时间未曾见过的经济下行时,才真正凸显出欧元区的这种结构弱点。这是政治家们设计的一种架构,这是它与生俱来的缺陷的一部分。政治家们没有以最理想的方式来设计这种架构。”

The story may not just be euro weakness, but dollar strength. U.S. economic statistics were depressed until fall 2011 - with high unemployment, huge and growing government debt, and a housing market still yet to recover.

问题可能并不只在于欧元的弱势,还在于美元的强势。在2011年秋季之前,美国经济统计数据令人沮丧,高失业率、日益膨胀的巨额政府债务,还有房地产市场仍未复苏。